oleocene.org

Belzebuth a écrit :le pic gazier, il a déjà été atteint depuis longtemps et ca personne ne semble en parler.Il n'y a que le pic petrolier, c'est vraiment con mais le gaz c'est aussi important que le petrole,non???

GillesH38 a écrit :La courbe ne fait que représenter autrement le fait que la production de pétrole, de gaz, et de charbon ne fait toujours qu'augmenter...

GillesH38 a écrit :A noter que cette courbe n'a rien d'extraordinaire, elle reflete simplement la courbe de production des fossiles, plus exactement c'est son intégrale (au coefficient d'absorption près). Tant qu'on produira plus que ce que la Terre absorbe, ça montera, et si la production avait chuté de moitié, je pense qu'on l'aurait su ! pas la peine de faire des stats élaborées pour savoir que ça monte, on est toujours a 8 ou 9 Gtep/an aux dernières nouvelles non ?

GlobalWarmingFR a écrit :

Alturiak a écrit :Oui, enfin entre des "conventions" et des "protocoles" qui n'obligent à rien faute de sanctions prévues pour ceux qui ne respectent pas les engagements qu'ils ont pris et une taxe carbone qui touche directement au portefeuille... tout le monde, il y a un sacré pas !

Les discours n'engagent à rien

IT IS ironic that the Arabian Gulf, which contains two thirds of the world’s proven oil reserves and is the epicentre of the energy business, faces a regular gas shortage, possibly as high as 7 billion cubic feet in the next decade. This is going to have a seismic impact on the GCC’s oil production, consumption and exports, a major factor in crude oil prices.

The gas deficit has compelled Oman to construct coal tired power plants and the UAE to use expensive crude and diesel liquids for power plants and the UAE to use expensive liquids for power generation during periods of peak summer air conditioning load times. The Dolphin Project is the largest cross border venture in the GCC, helping to bring Qatari oil to the UAE market.

However, Qatar cannot supply the sheer magnitude of the gas demand that will arise from the lower Gulf’s power generation, aluminium smelting, water desalination, petrochemicals and iron ore industries. Qatar has even declared a moratorium on new projects in the North Field till 2010, an ominous indicator of a future GCC gas squeeze. While Qatar and Iran have some of the world’s largest gas reserves, Iran is prevented from US Treasury sanctions from the billions of dollars in international bank credits from converting its gas into viable new production and supplies. Regional politics preclude Iran from emerging as a significant gas supplier to Saudi Arabia and the rest of the GCC. The gas supply deficit in the region could well provide both the impetus and strategic opportunity for the evolution of a nuclear power industry.

The worldwide shortage of gas exploration assets, equipment and personnel means the Gulf states have to dramatically rethink their economic growth and industrial models of the future as power generations rates surge. Sour gas, the Gulf’s primary geological gas assets, also is corrosive and inappropriate for the state-of-the-art downstream industries now emerging in the region. This prevalence of sour gas is the reason the UAE, blessed with the world’s fifth largest gas reserves, imports gas from Qatar in the Dolphin Project.