Publié : 01 nov. 2005, 11:31
Les terraplatistes ont fait du lavage de cerveau chez les journalistes... ![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
Site dédié à la fin de l'âge du pétrole
http://www.oleocene.org/phpBB3/
L'Opep relève sa prévision de la demande pétrolière pour 2006
LONDRES (Reuters) - L'Opep relève sa prévision de croissance de la demande pétrolière mondiale en 2006 en expliquant que l'amélioration des perspectives économiques et le dynamisme des pays émergents avaient démenti la thèse d'un ralentissement de la demande dû à la hausse des cours.
Dans son rapport mensuel, l'Organisation des pays exportateurs de pétrole dit tabler pour l'an prochain sur une croissance de la demande mondiale de 1,52 million de barils par jour (bpj), soit 1,8%. Ce chiffre représente un relèvement de 50.000 bpj par rapport au mois dernier.
Le cartel a parallèlement revu à la baisse sa prévision de l'offre des producteurs non-Opep (dont la Russie, le Mexique et la Norvège) pour les troisième et quatrième trimestres de cette année, respectivement de 194.000 et 191.000 bpj.
La demande de pétrole Opep au quatrième trimestre devrait être supérieure de 276.000 bpj à la précédente estimation et donc dépasser la production actuelle de l'organisation, qui atteint 30 millions de bpj.
Je dirait même qu'a mon avis l'on est plus proche du malheureux Romulus Augustus que de Trajanus...mahiahi a écrit :Bon, moi qui nous croyais sous Sulla, nous voilà sous Trajan... L'Histoire va très vite en ce moment!
Mais par jupiter! Toujours les même les ricains et les godames!nopasaran a écrit :Et qui sont nos barbares modernes ?mahiahi a écrit : - Trajan fut l'empereur qui amena l'Empire Romain à son extension maximale : il envahit la Dacie (Roumanie) et la Mésopotamie (Irak & Koweit) qui fut abandonnée par son successeur Hadrien ; après lui, Rome resta sur la défensive et eut de plus en plus de mal à contenir la pression barbare.
Fait gaffe tu vas finir par te transformer en politique...epe a écrit :Je me cite!epe a écrit : L’Algérie produit actuellement 1,4 million de barils/ jour. Le ministre prévoit une production de 2 millions de barils/ jour à l’horizon 2010.![]()
Opec set to lift secrecy about oil production
By Carola Hoyos in London
Published: November 18 2005 22:02 | Last updated: November 18 2005 22:02
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, the cartel that controls 40 per cent of world oil exports, will on Saturday lift a four-decade veil of secrecy and begin regularly to reveal how much oil it is actually pumping.
China and India, the fastest growing major oil consumers, will also supply consumption and storage data for the first time.
The Joint Oil Data Initiative (Jodi), which will be launched on Saturday in Riyadh by energy and finance ministers of the biggest oil producing and consuming countries, will meet a persistent demand of the Group of seven industrialised countries for more transparent energy data.
The price rise of the past three years, which this year saw oil hit nominal highs of $70.85 a barrel, could in part have been avoided by better data, analysts said. It would provide a more accurate basis for industry investment decisions, which in turn help determine long term supplies.
But analysts also suggested that the new database was unlikely to transform the currently unscientific art of guessing world demand and supply into a simple task.
One person close to Saturday's event said that the data would reveal little difference to existing output estimates for some countries including Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil producer but would show a five to 10 per cent disparity in the production levels of other Opec countries.
Traders said they would have to wait until the numbers came out to know whether they would move the oil price when markets reopen on Monday.
C'est étonnant : L'OPEP indique déjà les quantités de pétrole qu'elle produit.The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will on Saturday lift a four-decade veil of secrecy and begin regularly to reveal how much oil it is actually pumping.
Diminuer les taxes sur le pétrole ?Saudis say: Cut energy taxes
Saudi Arabia says it will continue to try and stabilise oil prices through modifications of production but in a remarkable development, King Abdullah has fired a broadside at oil consuming governments over the penal tax bits they take from oil.
Arab News reports that the king said oil producing nations could only do so much and that "all the efforts of the producing countries will not bear fruit if they are not met with positive steps by the main consumer states. These states should alleviate the ordeal of their citizens by cutting taxes on petroleum products when prices increase."
In New Zealand, more than half the cost of petrol and diesel at the pump is down to taxes and levies -- and as the price of suppy goes up, the government here, like governments in most consuming economies, experiences a massive windfall in collections.
OPEC chief and Kuwaiti Energy Minister Sheikh Ahmad Fahd Al-Sabah echoed the king's frustration with the tax greed of governments in countries where consumers are being hurt by skyrocketing prices.
"This is a financial issue of their own, but everyone should know that in Europe, 80 per cent of the price (of oil) is made up of taxes,” he told Arab News.
“They ask for an increase in production, and we ask for a cut in taxes ... which are one of the reasons for the hike in prices,” he said.
And what are the others reasons?“They ask for an increase in production, and we ask for a cut in taxes ... which are one of the reasons for the hike in prices,” he said.
source : http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=14784New OPEC Data Likely to Alter Oil Market Little
LONDON (ResourceInvestor.com) --
Today sees the inauguration by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of a new system of reporting the cartel’s oil production. The Joint Oil Data Initiative (JODI) will aim to provide more accurate and timely data on the oil production of OPEC member states, estimates of which have previously been of a rather poor quality.
The hope is that the initiation of JODI, which has been conceived partly at the behest of the big consuming nations, will by improving the transparency of the oil market facilitate to some extent more precise price forecasts. This could then enable the avoidance of some of the volatility that has characterised the oil market in recent months and which has been of such serious concern to some consumers.
This hope is based upon the assumption that some of the volatility in the oil market is caused by sheer uncertainty about the levels of production that are available to sate demand, although the correctness of this assumption is itself uncertain. A second hope is that JODI will allow more effective planning of investment in new productive capacity, which could help alleviate the crunch in the oil market that has seen prices rise so significantly of late.
Information on OPEC production levels will also be accompanied by, for the first time, more frequent and timely data from China on its levels of consumption and storage of oil, which could prove useful to the global oil market; growth in demand for oil in China has of course likely been the prime fundamental factor behind recent oil price rises.
However the new data will probably not make much if any tangible difference to the nature of the global oil market. The fact remains that the data concerned will remain inaccurate in many areas, not to mention open to doctoring when its suits the purposes of those states preparing it.
Monitoring statistically oil production in disorganised Third World countries consumption in immensely sophisticated economies like China is a mammoth and complex task, and is possibly one that can never be accomplished entirely satisfactorily.
Skewing of the data for economic or political reasons will be relatively easily accomplished, and motives for such skewing will always exist, particularly in OPEC nations where oil is almost the sole constituent of the national livelihood and changes in levels of production can have far reaching consequences.
Furthermore, global and national oil production and consumption levels are intrinsically in a near constant state of flux due to both incidental and interplaying fundamental factors, and any database designed to capture the levels as they stand at a moment in time will always in actuality lag this significantly. Id est, it is instructive to remember that statistics have their uses but they also have their inherent limitations.
JODI can still be seen as something of a step forward in OPEC’s relations with the industrialised powers, in that the cartel is revealing data that it has kept tightly under wraps for in excess of forty years. It is though the market impact and the quality of this data that will be of real interest, but it would probably be unwise to expect much in terms of either.