[Production] petit tour d'horizon des gisements saoudiens.

[timtamtom]

Salut,

Je ne comprends pas pourquoi personne n’a posté ici le PDF de Laherrere sur Saudi Arabia liquids production, au cas où si quelqu'un veut le voir. http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/files/JL_SA_June08.pdf



Ultime de 250 Gb pour l’Arabie saoudite d'après Laherrere (pétrole conventionnel), il critique Colin Campbell pour son ultime de 275 Gb (pétrole conventionnel).

Perso pour moi Laherrere est beaucoup plus crédible.

[Yves]

L’Arabie Saoudite renforce en urgence le potentiel de production de deux puits
(cache google)

traduction rapide de contreinfo :

Les investissements prévus sur le champ de Shaybah, qui devait suppléer à la production d’autres gisements, s’avérant pour l’instant trop coûteux, l’Arabie Saoudite va rapidement développer les gisements de Manifa et Dammam.

[Raminagrobis]

L’Arabie Saoudite renforce en urgence le potentiel de production de deux puits
(cache google)

traduction rapide de contreinfo :

Les investissements prévus sur le champ de Shaybah, qui devait suppléer à la production d’autres gisements, s’avérant pour l’instant trop coûteux, l’Arabie Saoudite va rapidement développer les gisements de Manifa et Dammam.

plus de détails sur rigZone : https://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=67759
Gnarf, Damman, c'est tout ce qu'ils ont en magasin?
C'est un grand père, le premier gisement saoudien à avoir été exploité.

[fuste23]

Je cherche une courbe a peu près claire de la production de pétrole de l'arabie saoudite... Merci

[energy_isere]

Je cherche une courbe a peu près claire de la production de pétrole de l'arabie saoudite... Merci

La Newletter ASPO n°66 de Juin 2007. http://www.energiekrise.de/e/aspo_news/ ... ter066.pdf

[fuste23]

Je cherche une courbe a peu près claire de la production de pétrole de l'arabie saoudite... Merci

La Newletter ASPOn°66 de Juin 2007. http://www.energiekrise.de/e/aspo_news/ ... ter066.pdf

Merci,

Il sont au taquet!

[energy_isere]

....
Il sont au taquet!

Pas sur, la partie "plate" correspond à une projection de production jugée stable de production. (limité par quota OPEP je pense).

[fuste23]

C'est pas làbas qu'il produise du pétrole avec un presque la moitié d'eau de mer dedant mélangé?

Peut-on toujours considérer l'arabie saoudite comme le gros producteur mondiale?
Peut-on encore compter sur ce pays pour sa marge de manoeuvre suplémentaire?

Quand ce pays entamera son déclin, ça fera certainement un peu de bruit...

[fuste23]

....
Il sont au taquet!

Pas sur, la partie "plate" correspond à une projection de production jugée stable de production. (limité par quota OPEP je pense).

Le simple fait que la production de ce pays reste "plate", c'est déjà énorme... Cela est un signe fort concernant l'avenir de la production mondiale de pétrole...

[energy_isere]

.....
Peut-on toujours considérer l'arabie saoudite comme le gros producteur mondiale?
.....

Jusqu' à ce jour c'est le plus gros producteur mondial et pour encore quelques années.

Donc c'est un gros producteur mondial dira Lapalisse.

[Tovi]

Propagande ? http://arabnews.com/?page=6&section=0&a ... y=Business

Peak oil theory appears irrelevant
Syed Rashid Husain I Arab News


AMIDST global economic gloom, interesting news is pouring in — from all around — tarnishing still further the Peak Oil theory. The world not only appears awash with oil, the future is also not that dismal as painted by Mat Simmons and the likes.

Erosion of demand is being expressed, and rightly so. Questions are being raised about the future of the oil industry and the state of investments in the sector. Question marks about the ability of the industry to pace with the future crude consumption patterns are definitely in circulation. Yet interesting news in recent weeks is enough to keep adrenaline going. And the very credibility of the theory that oil era is finally coming to an end seems destined to the dustbin of history — at least for the time being. The oil era is here to stay for some time now.

Crude markets are under pressure, yet Saudi Aramco is moving ahead with investments of about $60 billion on oil and gas projects through 2014. Plans have reportedly been laid out for 144 projects until 2014, including eight giant ones.

And Riyadh is investing in additional reserve — so essential for market stability — at a colossal cost.

Also ConocoPhillips, that halted bidding on the planned 400,000 bpd Yanbu Refinery in November, citing financial uncertainties, announced last week it would likely make an investment decision on the joint venture refinery in early 2010.

In the meantime, Iraq, often dubbed as virgin as far as exploration is concerned, has invited fresh bids to develop 30 new wells in three major southern oil fields, including the super giant Halfaya field. Iraq currently produces 2.4 million bpd and aims at increasing it to six million bpd over the next five years at a cost of $50 billion.

It is being reported that in order to attract investment, Iraq is permitting foreign companies a share of 75 percent in profits. Until now, Baghdad has been offering foreign companies no more than 49 percent stakes in new oil development projects.

And good news is also coming from far off, too.

ExxonMoils’s Azulao-1 well has tapped a reservoir that reportedly contains as much as eight billion barrels of recoverable oil, says Luiz Lemos of the Brazilian law firm that represents foreign energy companies. “This is very huge,” Lemos told Bloomberg News. With Exxon Mobil’s discovery off the coast of Brazil — the latest in a series of such offshore finds and potentially the largest Western Hemisphere discovery in three decades — the South American nation has taken another giant step in its quest to become a major energy source.

If the estimate is accurate, this new find will rival the nearby Tupi oil field as the largest discovery on this side of the planet since Mexico’s Cantarell field was discovered in 1976. Lemos’ estimate is unconfirmed, but Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillerson had described the find in January as “a huge potential resource.”

It was the Brazilian state energy company Petroleo Brasileiro SA known as Petrobras, that first triggered the rush on Brazil’s energy sector when, in November 2007, it announced the Tupi discovery — an underwater field that could contain as much as 80 billion barrels of oil equivalent. If Tupi lives up to analysts’ expectations, it will be very encouraging not just for development of Azulao, but also the Carioca reserve, another massive field expected to hold a large bounty of petroleum.

Last year, Haroldo Lima, the head of Brazil’s National Petroleum Agency, said Carioca could hold 33 billion barrels of oil and gas. Brazil currently has about 12 billion barrels of proven reserves, and could soon find itself nestled between Nigeria (with 36 billion barrels) and Venezuela (80 billion).

In the meantime, Venezuela which has been reporting regular drop in output — 31 percent since 2001 — has just announced increasing its proven reserves to 172.3 billion barrels as of Dec. 31, 2008.

Venezuela’s reserves were mostly boosted by projects in the Orinoco Belt.

At the end of 2007, Iran had 138.4 billion barrels and Venezuela had 87 billion barrels, according to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy.

However, the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers disputes Venezuela’s claim to second place for reserve ranking.

It says Canada has 178 billion barrels of proved reserves, more than Venezuela.

However, the flip side of the coin is that both Canada’s and Venezuela’s reserves are mostly made up of tar-like crude that needs to be purified in plants called up-graders before being sold to refineries. Pumping Venezuela’s new found reserves may require hundreds of billions of dollars. PDVSA’s cost estimate for a single 400,000 barrel-a-day project in the Orinoco was $18 billion as of February.

Things on the energy front are not as gloomy as has been projected in recent past. Fossil fuel era has still many, many more decades, if not more, to go, one could safely bet at this stage.

[Alain75]

Propagande ? http://arabnews.com/?page=6&section=0&a ... y=Business

Oui j'ai vu ça, je sais pas trop ce qu'est cet "arabnews", mais enfin pour le ministre Saoudien du pétrole :

“In years to come,” Mr. Al-Naimi said, “if traditional energy supplies should prove inadequate because capital expenditure was curtailed due to unsustainable prices, unreliable indications of future demand, or hopes for a substitute for oil cannot deliver, such a supply crunch would be catastrophic.”

http://greeninc.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/ ... le-energy/

[Raminagrobis]

Syed Rashid Husain, vice président de la Saudi Aramco

[Tovi]

Certes mais qu'est-ce que ça lui rapporte de dire ça ? C'est pour se rassurer lui même ou c'est pour décourager les alternatives ?

[FOWLER]

Syed Rashid Husain, vice président de la Saudi Aramco

If the estimate is accurate, this new find will rival the nearby Tupi oil field as the largest discovery on this side of the planet since Mexico’s Cantarell field was discovered in 1976. Lemos’ estimate is unconfirmed, but Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillerson had described the find in January as “a huge potential resource.”

Peut-être qu'il a lu ton poisson d'avril et qu'il y a cru....

(Ah le mexique a trouvé un nouveau gisement au moins aussi gros que Cantarell, et dont l'exploitation ne pose pas de problème particulier. Leur production va remonter en fleche)