[Chiffres] Surveillons les prédictions de l'EIA (agence US)

[energy_isere]

EIA Reveals Latest USA Oil, Gas Proved Reserves Figures

by Andreas Exarheas|Rigzone Staff | Monday, June 30, 2025

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed its latest U.S. crude oil and natural gas proved reserves figures in a report posted on its site recently.

According to the report, which includes data up to 2023, U.S. crude oil and lease condensate proved reserves decreased 3.9 percent year over year from 2022, from 48.3 billion barrels to 46.4 billion barrels.

North Dakota crude oil and lease condensate reserves decreased 12.3 percent from 2022, the report showed, highlighting that, at 611 million barrels, this was the largest annual net decline reported among all states. The second largest net decline of oil reserves occurred in Alaska, according to the report, which pointed out that the state saw an 11.4 percent, or 384 million barrel, drop.

New Mexico crude oil and lease condensate proved reserves increased 6.1 percent from 2022 to 2023, the report highlighted. At 380 million barrels, this was the largest net increase in 2023, the EIA report revealed.

The report also showed that U.S. crude oil and lease condensate production increased 7.8 percent year over year from 2022 to 2023.

Natural Gas

Proved reserves of U.S. natural gas decreased 12.6 percent year over year, from 691.0 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) to 603.6 Tcf, the EIA report stated, adding that this was the first annual decrease in U.S. natural gas reserves since 2020.

Alaska saw the largest annual net decline among all states in 2023, according to the report, which revealed natural gas proved reserves in the state decreased 22.7 percent, or 28.5 Tcf. Texas had the second largest net decline in proved reserves of natural gas, according to the report, which revealed that the state’s proved reserves drop was 12.6 percent, or 21.4 Tcf.

Montana reported the largest annual net increase in proved reserves of natural gas from 2022 to 2023, the report highlighted, revealing the state’s proved reserves rise came in at 11.2 percent, or 70 billion cubic feet.

The report went on to point out that U.S. natural gas production increased 3.4 percent in 2023.

Preparation, Definition
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https://www.rigzone.com/news/eia_reveal ... 9-article/

[tita]

Monde:
2024 Production/Consommation tout liquide: 102.52 Mb/j / 102.86 Mb/j
2025 Production/Consommation tout liquide: 104.18 Mb/j / 104.48 Mb/j

USA:
Production pétrole 2024: 13.24 Mb/j (13.62 Mb/j en décembre 2024)
Production pétrole 2025: 13.52 Mb/j (13.63 Mb/j en décembre 2025)

2018: 100.43/99.7 (production/consommation en Mb/j)
2019: 100.25/100.26
2020: 93.85/91.7 (Confinement)
2021: 95.68/97.53 (remontée)
2022: 100.17/100.05 (plus de confinement)
2023: 102.02/102.15
2024: 102.52/102.86
2025: 104.18/104.48

Petit update de mi-année avec le rapport STEO de juin.
Monde:
2024 Production/Consommation tout liquide: 102.80 Mb/j / 102.74 Mb/j
2025 Production/Consommation tout liquide: 104.60 Mb/j / 103.54 Mb/j
2026 Production/Consommation tout liquide: 105.72 Mb/j / 104.59 Mb/j

USA:
Production pétrole 2024: 13.21 Mb/j (13.44 Mb/j en décembre 2024)
Production pétrole 2025: 13.37 Mb/j (13.48 Mb/j en décembre 2025)
Production pétrole 2026: 13.37 Mb/j (13.25 Mb/j en décembre 2026)

2018: 100.43/99.7 (production/consommation en Mb/j)
2019: 100.25/100.26
2020: 93.85/91.7 (Confinement)
2021: 95.63/96.63 (remontée)
2022: 100.18/99.49 (plus de confinement)
2023: 102.21/101.85
2024: 102.80/102.74
2025: 104.60/103.54
2026; 105.72/104.59

Ce qui frappe un peu, c'est que la production mondiale est supérieure à la consommation. En fait, la différence va dans les réserve selon leur tableau. Le second point, c'est une production US qui serait la même en 2026 qu'en 2025, avec un pic en avril 2026. Habituellement, le mois de décembre est toujours prédit comme le plus haut de l'année.

Bref, les prix ne sont pas près de monter.

[energy_isere]

USA EIA Reveals Latest USA Crude Oil Production Forecast

by Andreas Exarheas|Rigzone Staff | Monday, July 21, 2025


The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed its latest U.S. crude oil production forecast in its July short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released earlier this month.

In its July STEO, the EIA projected that U.S. crude oil production, including lease condensate, will average 13.37 million barrels per day across 2025 and 2026. The STEO highlighted that this output came in at 13.21 million barrels per day in 2024.

The EIA forecast in its July STEO that U.S. crude oil production will average 13.36 million barrels per day in the third quarter of this year, 13.43 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter, 13.42 million barrels per day in the first quarter of 2026, 13.48 million barrels per day in the second quarter, 13.33 million barrels per day in the third quarter, and 13.26 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter.

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https://www.rigzone.com/news/usa_eia_re ... 0-article/